Corey Pavin to win @ 240 (betfair) - 0.5 units
Didn't play last week so should be fresh for this. Hitting it great in his appearances on the regular tour and his GIR rating is impressive. A low number is going to be needed to win here and as such a good short game is needed which Pavin has in spades. Terrific value here.
Corey Pavin to finish top 25 @ $4.50 (sportsbet) - 1.5 units
The top Australian market is very competitive this week and have found three players at reasonable odds.
Greg Chalmers - 1 unit @ $13 (sportsbet)
Close to the form Aussie on tour and has got his short game back.
James Nitties - 1 unit @ $26 (sportingbet)
Fresh for this and is slowly getting back to his best. $26 is a huge price considering some of the flaky opposition he is up against..
Steve Elkington - 1 unit @ $19 (sportsbet)
Can shoot low numbers when on song and form pretty good of late. Experience could be a factor around here.
Now in a playoff - have just laid him to win 16 units @ $3.30 (betfair)
Poor Corey just wasn't up to the other two on the first playoff hole. Why he chose a 3 wood off the tee especially when he is so accurate with the driver is a mystery. But, still can't complain after collecting on the bet back and the top 25.
The 3 Aussies were all thereabouts at the 1/2 way mark but slipped off the pace towards the end.
Great to see my ratings really paying dividends on the golf lately. I do a fair bit of research from week to week and it does get frustrating when it goes unrewarded. However its one sport that you need a lot of patience with as you can go weeks and months without a payout but then 1 or 2 collects can set you up for the year.
The POT % is again at a dangerous high water mark. I'm pretty sure that 30% is unsustainable so am bracing myself for a bad run in the not too distant future. Lets hope it stays away for a little while yet !!!!!