Thursday, March 24, 2011

Golf - Arnold Palmer Invitational

Firstly my apologies for regular readers of this blog who sometimes follow my selections (probably not many, if any LOL).

Gary Woodland was actually my top pick last week and to crown it off I also had John Senden as top Aussie as my other selection. Have been really pressed for time lately so only tweeted those selections instead of posting here. I won't include in my P&L but the 120s Mr Woodland was very, very nice indeed. Thats two winners at $70 plus for the year so am very satisfied that the work I put into my golf bets is getting rewarded.

Enough of the navel gazing and onto this week. Course has been really toughened up in recent times with the rough lengthened and 2 par 5's stripped back to par 4's. Looking for US Open type players as hitting it wildly off the tee is not the profile of a winner here.

Graeme McDowell - 1.3 units to win @ $21 (betfair)
Carrying on his top form from last year with 3 top 10 finishes from his only 4 starts on the US tour. Gets to a course that suits his accurate hitting and its only a matter of time before he breaks through on the main tour again.

Sergio Garcia - 1.3 units to win @ $60 (betfair)
First to agree that you wouldn't want him to hole a 6 footer to save your life at the moment but the facts are Sergio has been playing very well the past month. Started off in terrific form last week before struggling over the weekend. His accurate ball striking will suit and IMO there is less focus on putting here than there is on other courses. Also plays well in Florida.

Chris Couch - 0.6 units to win @ $60 (betfair)
3 top 10s from 5 starts and finished T4 here last year. Is a non-winner but is playing in the form of his life with his putting the most prominent feature. Like last week, sometimes pays to stick with the in-form player.

Matt Every - 1.3 units T25 @ $6.00 (Centrebet)
Only making his 3rd start on main tour this year after getting a 5 start injury excemption for 2011. Coming off a last start 2nd on Nationwide tour, hits the ball very long and is reasonably accurate off the tee. Also a Florida native meaning he should be familiar with the grasses (pun intended). Does have a top 30 performance in his only US Open start.

Thursday, March 10, 2011

Golf - WGC Cadillac

Padraig Harrington - 1.6 units to win @ $85
Seemingly out of form but I'm banking on him getting back to his best on what seems to be one of his favourite US courses. Last 3 apppearances here have yielded a T3, T20 and a T19. Has good solid figures for Doral rating well in all the key categories that are needed. The $85 seems to good value for a player of his pedigree.

K J Choi - 1 unit to win @ $120 (betfair)
Started the season slow but is beginning to get back to his best with a T7 at the Northern Open and a 2nd round loss in the Matchplay to Ryan Moore. Plays well in Florida and this course's premium on accurate ball striking suits Choi. Has a good record at this course and this season has thrown up some long priced winners.

Thursday, March 3, 2011

Golf - Honda Classic

Short but sweet this week.

Graeme McDowell 1.6 units to win @ $16.5 (betfair)
Course should suit with its emphasis on ball striking and putting. Now one of the best players in the world and is generally very consistent.

Charl Schwartzel 1.6 units to win @ $50 (betfair)
Bound to break through on the US Tour soon and this could be the course to do it on. Very similar to some of the Sth African courses he does so well on. In good form and putting very well. Giood price for a very good player.